The edge goes to the Kings at home against the Wizards on Tuesday, March 2, at about 70%. That is a real edge, but the Wizards are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Kings 70%, with a projected score of Washington Wizards 112, Sacramento Kings 117. The rating gap is 45 points in favor of the Kings, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Kings on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 3 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Wizards are 2-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -6. The Kings are 0-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -10.
The Wizards were beaten 140-117 at home by MIA not long ago.
The Kings were beaten 121-96 on the road by LAC not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Wizards score 118 a game and allow 116. The Kings score 109.3 and allow 124. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 121 for the Wizards and 112.7 for the Kings, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Kings have been tough to score on, which should slow the Wizards.
The Wizards have defended better than the Kings have scored, so the Kings may need to find offense elsewhere.
Injuries to watch
Out: Tristan Vukcevic (WAS), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Jamir Watkins (WAS), expected back Apr 2, 2027, AJ Dybantsa (WAS), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Dylan Cardwell (SAC), expected back Nov 2, 2026, and Maxime Raynaud (SAC), expected back Nov 2, 2026.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the series is even, with the Kings outscoring the Wizards by an average of 6.8 points per game. The last meeting was SAC 112, WAS 116.