Recent form is the story in Detroit Pistons at Milwaukee Bucks on Tuesday, March 2. The Pistons have won 4 of their last 5, while the Bucks have won 1.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Pistons 75%, with a projected score of Detroit Pistons 118, Milwaukee Bucks 111. The rating gap is 293 points in favor of the Pistons, and home court and rest add about 99 rating points for the Bucks on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.
The recent-form gap
The Pistons are 3-0 this season and 4-1 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +5.6. The Bucks are 0-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -6.6.
The Pistons' best recent win was 115-94 on the road against CLE.
The Pistons were beaten 125-94 at home by CLE not long ago.
The Bucks' best recent win was 125-108 at home against BKN.
The Bucks were beaten 126-106 on the road by PHI not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Pistons score 118.3 a game and allow 105.7. The Bucks score 119 and allow 129. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 123.7 for the Pistons and 112.4 for the Bucks, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Bucks have been tough to score on, which should slow the Pistons.
The Bucks should find points against the Pistons' defense, which has been giving up 105.7.
Injuries to watch
Out: Ausar Thompson (DET), expected back Oct 27, 2026 and Jalen Duren (DET), expected back Nov 9, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Isaiah Joe (DET). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Bucks lead 5-3, with the Pistons outscoring the Bucks by an average of 0.7 points per game. The last meeting was MIL 111, DET 137.