Our ratings lean toward the Celtics on the road against the Pacers on Tuesday, March 2, at about 67%. That is a real edge, but the Pacers are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Celtics 67%, with a projected score of Boston Celtics 117, Indiana Pacers 112. The rating gap is 221 points in favor of the Celtics, and home court and rest add about 101 rating points for the Pacers on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 33 times in 100 games like this, the Pacers would win.
Recent form
The Celtics are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4. The Pacers are 2-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.8.
The Celtics were beaten 113-97 at home by PHI not long ago.
The Pacers' best recent win was 136-109 on the road against BKN.
The Pacers were beaten 121-105 at home by DAL not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Devin Carter (BOS), expected back Nov 8, 2026, T.J. McConnell (IND), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Johnny Furphy (IND), expected back Jan 2, 2027, and Ben Sheppard (IND), expected back Dec 1, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Ivica Zubac (IND). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Celtics lead 4-3, with the Celtics outscoring the Pacers by an average of 9.1 points per game. The last meeting was IND 104, BOS 119.