Washington Wizards at Phoenix Suns on Monday, March 1 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Suns about a 86% chance, and the Wizards would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Suns 86%, with a projected score of Washington Wizards 109, Phoenix Suns 120. The rating gap is 215 points in favor of the Suns, and home court and rest add about 101 rating points for the Suns on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 7 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Wizards are 2-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -6. The Suns are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -13.2.
The Wizards were beaten 140-117 at home by MIA not long ago.
The Suns were beaten 124-83 on the road by POR not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Tristan Vukcevic (WAS), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Jamir Watkins (WAS), expected back Apr 2, 2027, AJ Dybantsa (WAS), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Mark Williams (PHX), expected back Feb 3, 2027, and Drew Timme (PHX).
Day to day or questionable: Oso Ighodaro (PHX). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Suns lead 4-0, with the Suns outscoring the Wizards by an average of 12.5 points per game. The last meeting was WAS 93, PHX 112.