Brooklyn Nets at Denver Nuggets on Monday, March 1 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Nuggets about a 91% chance, and the Nets would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Nuggets 91%, with a projected score of Brooklyn Nets 107, Denver Nuggets 122. The rating gap is 306 points in favor of the Nuggets, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Nuggets on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 11 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Nets are 0-3 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -18. The Nuggets are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -4.4.
The Nets were beaten 136-101 on the road by TOR not long ago.
The Nuggets were beaten 112-96 on the road by MIN not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Tyler Bilodeau (BKN), expected back Oct 27, 2026, Mikel Brown Jr. (BKN), expected back Oct 27, 2026, Spencer Jones (DEN), expected back Oct 28, 2026, and Julian Strawther (DEN), expected back Nov 29, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Cameron Johnson (DEN) and Alpha Diallo (DEN). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Nuggets lead 3-1, with the Nuggets outscoring the Nets by an average of 4 points per game. The last meeting was BKN 103, DEN 107.