The Win Meter favors the Pelicans at home against the Jazz on Monday, March 1, at about 75%. That is a real edge, but the Jazz are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Pelicans 75%, with a projected score of Utah Jazz 111, New Orleans Pelicans 118. The rating gap is 88 points in favor of the Pelicans, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Pelicans on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Jazz are 1-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.2. The Pelicans are 0-3 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4.
The Jazz's best recent win was 147-101 at home against MEM.
The Jazz were beaten 131-107 on the road by LAL not long ago.
The Pelicans were beaten 144-118 on the road by BOS not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Jazz score 115.3 a game and allow 124.7. The Pelicans score 124.7 and allow 128. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 121.7 for the Jazz and 124.7 for the Pelicans, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Pelicans have been tough to score on, which should slow the Jazz.
Injuries to watch
Out: Jusuf Nurkic (UTA), expected back Nov 4, 2026, Trey Alexander (UTA), expected back Oct 26, 2026, and Yves Missi (NOP), expected back Nov 2, 2026.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Pelicans lead 6-1, with the Pelicans outscoring the Jazz by an average of 9 points per game. The last meeting was NOP 119, UTA 120.