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Philadelphia 76ers at Cleveland Cavaliers: preview and Win Meter

Philadelphia 76ers → Cleveland Cavaliers →

The edge goes to the Cavaliers at home against the 76ers on Monday, March 1, at about 68%. That is a real edge, but the 76ers are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Cavaliers 68%, with a projected score of Philadelphia 76ers 112, Cleveland Cavaliers 117. The rating gap is 28 points in favor of the Cavaliers, and home court and rest add about 99 rating points for the Cavaliers on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 32 times in 100 games like this, the 76ers would win.

Recent form

The 76ers are 3-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.6. The Cavaliers are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -14.

The 76ers were beaten 144-114 at home by NYK not long ago.

The Cavaliers were beaten 130-93 at home by NYK not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Dominick Barlow (PHI), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Ariel Hukporti (PHI), expected back Oct 1, 2027, Tacko Fall (PHI), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Jabari Walker (PHI), expected back Oct 28, 2026, and Joel Embiid (PHI), expected back Oct 28, 2026.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Cavaliers lead 6-2, with the Cavaliers outscoring the 76ers by an average of 9.6 points per game. The last meeting was CLE 106, PHI 114.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

76ers3-2, -3.6 avg margin
Cavaliers1-4, -14 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • The 76ers arrive in better form (L-W-W-W-L against L-L-L-L-W).
  • Health: 8 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Cavaliers.

Recent meetings

  • Oct 22: CLE 106, PHI 114
  • Mar 9: PHI 101, CLE 115
  • Jan 16: CLE 117, PHI 115
  • Jan 14: CLE 133, PHI 107
  • Nov 5: PHI 121, CLE 132

Injury report

Philadelphia 76ers
  • Dominick Barlow Out · back Nov 2
  • Ariel Hukporti Out · back Oct 1
  • Tacko Fall Out · back Oct 28
  • Jabari Walker Out · back Oct 28
  • Joel Embiid Out · back Oct 28
Cleveland Cavaliers
  • Khalifa Diop Out
  • Nae'Qwan Tomlin Out
  • Ernest Udeh, Jr. Out

Win Meter

32%
68%
76ersCavaliers

Projected score: 76ers 112, Cavaliers 117

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

32%
68%
76ersCavaliers

Matchup at a glance

PHICLE
Record3-11-1
Last 5LWWWLLLLLW
Points per game110115.5
Allowed per game107117.5
Days of rest––
Rating15461574

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