Game preview · Sun 5:00 PM MT

Boston Celtics at Minnesota Timberwolves: preview and Win Meter

Boston Celtics → Minnesota Timberwolves →

The Win Meter favors the Timberwolves at home against the Celtics on Sunday, February 28, at about 64%. That is a real edge, but the Celtics are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Timberwolves 64%, with a projected score of Boston Celtics 113, Minnesota Timberwolves 116. The two teams are rated almost level, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Timberwolves on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 36 times in 100 games like this, the Celtics would win.

Recent form

The Celtics are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4. The Timberwolves are 3-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +2.2.

The Celtics were beaten 113-97 at home by PHI not long ago.

The Timberwolves' best recent win was 131-106 on the road against MIA.

The Timberwolves were beaten 139-109 at home by SAS not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Devin Carter (BOS), expected back Nov 8, 2026 and Donte DiVincenzo (MIN), expected back Apr 2, 2027.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the series is even, with the Timberwolves outscoring the Celtics by an average of 2.3 points per game. The last meeting was MIN 102, BOS 92.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Celtics1-4, -8.4 avg margin
Timberwolves3-2, +2.2 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • The Timberwolves arrive in better form (L-L-W-W-W against L-L-L-L-W).
  • Health: 2 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Timberwolves.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 22: MIN 102, BOS 92
  • Nov 29: BOS 115, MIN 119
  • Jan 2: BOS 118, MIN 115
  • Nov 24: MIN 105, BOS 107

Injury report

Boston Celtics
  • Devin Carter Out · back Nov 8
Minnesota Timberwolves
  • Donte DiVincenzo Out · back Apr 2

Win Meter

36%
64%
CelticsTimberwolves

Projected score: Celtics 113, Timberwolves 116

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

36%
64%
CelticsTimberwolves

Matchup at a glance

BOSMIN
Record1-13-0
Last 5LLLLWLLWWW
Points per game110121
Allowed per game11297.7
Days of rest––
Rating16091610

More