The Win Meter favors the Raptors on the road against the Pacers on Sunday, February 28, at about 58%. That is a real edge, but the Pacers are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Raptors 58%, with a projected score of Toronto Raptors 116, Indiana Pacers 114. The rating gap is 159 points in favor of the Raptors, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Pacers on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 42 times in 100 games like this, the Pacers would win.
Recent form
The Raptors are 2-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +4. The Pacers are 2-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.8.
The Raptors' best recent win was 135-92 at home against CHI.
The Raptors were beaten 117-94 on the road by MIN not long ago.
The Pacers' best recent win was 136-109 on the road against BKN.
The Pacers were beaten 121-105 at home by DAL not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Raptors score 113.7 a game and allow 103.7. The Pacers score 121.3 and allow 116.7. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 115.2 for the Raptors and 112.5 for the Pacers, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Pacers should find points against the Raptors' defense, which has been giving up 103.7.
Injuries to watch
Out: Nate Bittle (TOR), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Kawhi Leonard (TOR), expected back Oct 28, 2026, T.J. McConnell (IND), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Johnny Furphy (IND), expected back Jan 2, 2027, and Ben Sheppard (IND), expected back Dec 1, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Ivica Zubac (IND). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Raptors lead 6-1, with the Raptors outscoring the Pacers by an average of 7.7 points per game. The last meeting was IND 104, TOR 122.