The edge goes to the Spurs at home against the Nuggets on Sunday, February 28, at about 75%. That is a real edge, but the Nuggets are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Spurs 75%, with a projected score of Denver Nuggets 111, San Antonio Spurs 118. The rating gap is 91 points in favor of the Spurs, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Spurs on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Nuggets are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -4.4. The Spurs are 1-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.
The Nuggets were beaten 112-96 on the road by MIN not long ago.
The Spurs' best recent win was 122-106 on the road against DAL.
Injuries to watch
Out: Spencer Jones (DEN), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Julian Strawther (DEN), expected back Nov 29, 2026, Jayden Quaintance (SAS), expected back Dec 3, 2026, and Tobias Harris (SAS), expected back Oct 27, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Cameron Johnson (DEN) and Alpha Diallo (DEN). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Nuggets lead 4-3, with the Nuggets outscoring the Spurs by an average of 2.1 points per game. The last meeting was DEN 128, SAS 118.