Philadelphia 76ers at New York Knicks on Saturday, February 27 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Knicks about a 80% chance, and the 76ers would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Knicks 80%, with a projected score of Philadelphia 76ers 110, New York Knicks 119. The rating gap is 142 points in favor of the Knicks, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Knicks on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 5 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The 76ers are 3-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.6. The Knicks are 0-3 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -2.8.
The 76ers were beaten 144-114 at home by NYK not long ago.
Offense against defense
The 76ers score 110 a game and allow 107. The Knicks score 101.7 and allow 108. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 109 for the 76ers and 104.4 for the Knicks, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The 76ers have defended better than the Knicks have scored, so the Knicks may need to find offense elsewhere.
Injuries to watch
Out: Dominick Barlow (PHI), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Ariel Hukporti (PHI), expected back Oct 1, 2027, Tacko Fall (PHI), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Jabari Walker (PHI), expected back Oct 28, 2026, and Joel Embiid (PHI), expected back Oct 28, 2026.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Knicks lead 10-3, with the Knicks outscoring the 76ers by an average of 11.7 points per game. The last meeting was PHI 106, NYK 100.