Phoenix Suns at New Orleans Pelicans on Thursday, February 25 is about as close to a coin flip as the ratings get, with the Suns at only 50%. Small things like rest, health and shooting variance should decide it.
Why it is so close
The Win Meter reads the Suns 50%, with a projected score of Phoenix Suns 115, New Orleans Pelicans 115. The rating gap is 102 points in favor of the Suns, and home court and rest add about 99 rating points for the Pelicans on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 50 times in 100 games like this, the Pelicans would win.
Recent form
The Suns are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -13.2. The Pelicans are 0-3 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4.
The Suns were beaten 124-83 on the road by POR not long ago.
The Pelicans were beaten 144-118 on the road by BOS not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Mark Williams (PHX), expected back Feb 3, 2027, Drew Timme (PHX), and Yves Missi (NOP), expected back Nov 2, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Oso Ighodaro (PHX). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Suns lead 5-2, with the Suns outscoring the Pelicans by an average of 6.9 points per game. The last meeting was NOP 116, PHX 118.