Our ratings lean toward the Hawks on the road against the Bulls on Thursday, February 25, at about 65%. That is a real edge, but the Bulls are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Hawks 65%, with a projected score of Atlanta Hawks 117, Chicago Bulls 113. The rating gap is 209 points in favor of the Hawks, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Bulls on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 35 times in 100 games like this, the Bulls would win.
Recent form
The Hawks are 2-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -6.6. The Bulls are 1-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -17.
The Hawks' best recent win was 128-81 on the road against CHA.
The Hawks were beaten 140-89 at home by NYK not long ago.
The Bulls were beaten 135-92 on the road by TOR not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Hawks score 124.7 a game and allow 109. The Bulls score 114.7 and allow 128. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 126.4 for the Hawks and 111.9 for the Bulls, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Bulls should find points against the Hawks' defense, which has been giving up 109.
Injuries to watch
Out: Henri Veesaar (ATL), expected back Jul 1, 2027, Mouhamed Gueye (ATL), expected back Nov 20, 2026, and Nicolas Claxton (CHI), expected back Nov 4, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: RayJ Dennis (ATL), Keshon Gilbert (ATL), Jock Landale (ATL), and Noa Essengue (CHI). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Bulls lead 5-2, with the Bulls outscoring the Hawks by an average of 1.7 points per game. The last meeting was CHI 126, ATL 123.