The edge goes to the Knicks at home against the Thunder on Thursday, February 25, at about 61%. That is a real edge, but the Thunder are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Knicks 61%, with a projected score of Oklahoma City Thunder 113, New York Knicks 116. The rating gap is 24 points in favor of the Thunder, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Knicks on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 39 times in 100 games like this, the Thunder would win.
Recent form
The Thunder are 3-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -0.8. The Knicks are 0-3 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -2.8.
The Thunder were beaten 118-91 on the road by SAS not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Thunder score 106.7 a game and allow 96.3. The Knicks score 101.7 and allow 108. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 107.4 for the Thunder and 99 for the Knicks, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Knicks should find points against the Thunder's defense, which has been giving up 96.3.
Injuries to watch
Out: Thomas Sorber (OKC), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Nikola Topic (OKC), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Otega Oweh (OKC), expected back Jul 1, 2027, and Jose Alvarado (NYK), expected back Oct 27, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Jaylin Williams (OKC) and Cason Wallace (OKC). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Thunder lead 4-0, with the Thunder outscoring the Knicks by an average of 12.2 points per game. The last meeting was NYK 100, OKC 111.