Game preview · Thu 6:00 PM MT

Boston Celtics at Memphis Grizzlies: preview and Win Meter

Boston Celtics → Memphis Grizzlies →

The Win Meter favors the Celtics on the road against the Grizzlies on Thursday, February 18, at about 71%. That is a real edge, but the Grizzlies are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Celtics 71%, with a projected score of Boston Celtics 118, Memphis Grizzlies 113. The rating gap is 255 points in favor of the Celtics, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Grizzlies on top of that.

A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 3 like it goes the other way.

Recent form

The Celtics are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4. The Grizzlies are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -14.2.

The Celtics were beaten 113-97 at home by PHI not long ago.

The Grizzlies' best recent win was 123-103 at home against UTA.

The Grizzlies were beaten 147-101 on the road by UTA not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Devin Carter (BOS), expected back Nov 8, 2026, Zach Edey (MEM), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Karim Lopez (MEM), expected back Oct 26, 2026, and Javon Small (MEM).

Day to day or questionable: Cedric Coward (MEM). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Celtics lead 3-1, with the Celtics outscoring the Grizzlies by an average of 12.2 points per game. The last meeting was BOS 117, MEM 112.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Celtics1-4, -8.4 avg margin
Grizzlies2-3, -14.2 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 4 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Grizzlies.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 20: BOS 117, MEM 112
  • Nov 12: MEM 95, BOS 131
  • Mar 31: BOS 117, MEM 103
  • Dec 7: MEM 127, BOS 121

Injury report

Boston Celtics
  • Devin Carter Out · back Nov 8
Memphis Grizzlies
  • Cedric Coward Available
  • Zach Edey Out · back Oct 26
  • Karim Lopez Out · back Oct 26
  • Javon Small Out

Win Meter

71%
29%
CelticsGrizzlies

Projected score: Celtics 118, Grizzlies 113

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

71%
29%
CelticsGrizzlies

Matchup at a glance

BOSMEM
Record1-12-0
Last 5LLLLWLLLWW
Points per game110117
Allowed per game112105.5
Days of rest––
Rating16091354

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