Our ratings lean toward the Kings at home against the Pacers on Wednesday, February 17, at about 63%. That is a real edge, but the Pacers are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Kings 63%, with a projected score of Indiana Pacers 114, Sacramento Kings 117. The rating gap is 10 points in favor of the Pacers, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Kings on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 37 times in 100 games like this, the Pacers would win.
Recent form
The Pacers are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.4. The Kings are 0-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.8.
The Pacers' best recent win was 123-94 on the road against BKN.
The Pacers were beaten 121-105 at home by DAL not long ago.
The Kings were beaten 121-96 on the road by LAC not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: T.J. McConnell (IND), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Johnny Furphy (IND), expected back Jan 2, 2027, Ben Sheppard (IND), expected back Dec 1, 2026, Kobe Brown (IND), and Dylan Cardwell (SAC), expected back Nov 2, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Aaron Nesmith (IND). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Pacers lead 3-1, with the Pacers outscoring the Kings by an average of 8.7 points per game. The last meeting was IND 109, SAC 114.