The edge goes to the Warriors at home against the Pelicans on Wednesday, February 17, at about 67%. That is a real edge, but the Pelicans are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Warriors 67%, with a projected score of New Orleans Pelicans 113, Golden State Warriors 118. The rating gap is 19 points in favor of the Warriors, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Warriors on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 33 times in 100 games like this, the Pelicans would win.
Recent form
The Pelicans are 0-3 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4. The Warriors are 0-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.8.
The Pelicans were beaten 144-118 on the road by BOS not long ago.
The Warriors were beaten 127-105 on the road by LAL not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Pelicans score 124.7 a game and allow 128. The Warriors score 111.7 and allow 123. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 123.9 for the Pelicans and 119.9 for the Warriors, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Pelicans have defended better than the Warriors have scored, so the Warriors may need to find offense elsewhere.
Injuries to watch
Out: Yves Missi (NOP), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Kristaps Porzingis (GSW), expected back Dec 1, 2026, Jimmy Butler (GSW), expected back Jan 2, 2027, and Moses Moody (GSW), expected back Dec 1, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Gui Santos (GSW) and Charles Bassey (GSW). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Warriors lead 6-1, with the Warriors outscoring the Pelicans by an average of 10.7 points per game. The last meeting was GSW 109, NOP 113.