Boston Celtics at Oklahoma City Thunder on Wednesday, February 17 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Thunder about a 76% chance, and the Celtics would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Thunder 76%, with a projected score of Boston Celtics 112, Oklahoma City Thunder 119. The rating gap is 101 points in favor of the Thunder, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Thunder on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Celtics are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4. The Thunder are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +0.4.
The Celtics were beaten 113-97 at home by PHI not long ago.
The Thunder were beaten 118-91 on the road by SAS not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Devin Carter (BOS), expected back Nov 8, 2026, Thomas Sorber (OKC), expected back Oct 26, 2026, and Nikola Topic (OKC), expected back Oct 26, 2026.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Thunder lead 3-1, with the Thunder outscoring the Celtics by an average of 2.8 points per game. The last meeting was OKC 109, BOS 119.