Game preview · Wed 5:00 PM MT

Toronto Raptors at Charlotte Hornets: preview and Win Meter

Toronto Raptors → Charlotte Hornets →

The edge goes to the Hornets at home against the Raptors on Wednesday, February 17, at about 64%. That is a real edge, but the Raptors are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Hornets 64%, with a projected score of Toronto Raptors 114, Charlotte Hornets 117. The two teams are rated almost level, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Hornets on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 36 times in 100 games like this, the Raptors would win.

Recent form

The Raptors are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +7.6. The Hornets are 2-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -13.

The Raptors' best recent win was 135-92 at home against CHI.

The Hornets were beaten 128-81 at home by ATL not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Nate Bittle (TOR), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Malachi Smith (TOR), Kawhi Leonard (TOR), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Coby White (CHA), expected back Oct 28, 2026, and Kon Knueppel (CHA), expected back Oct 28, 2026.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Raptors lead 4-3, with the Raptors outscoring the Hornets by an average of 1 points per game. The last meeting was TOR 97, CHA 96.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Raptors3-2, +7.6 avg margin
Hornets3-2, -13 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 6 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Hornets.

Recent meetings

  • Jan 7: TOR 97, CHA 96
  • Dec 5: CHA 111, TOR 86
  • Nov 29: TOR 111, CHA 118
  • Nov 17: CHA 108, TOR 110
  • Apr 9: CHA 96, TOR 126

Injury report

Toronto Raptors
  • Nate Bittle Out · back Oct 28
  • Malachi Smith Out
  • Kawhi Leonard Out · back Oct 28
Charlotte Hornets
  • Coby White Out · back Oct 28
  • Kon Knueppel Out · back Oct 28
  • Grant Williams Out · back Oct 30

Win Meter

36%
64%
RaptorsHornets

Projected score: Raptors 114, Hornets 117

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

36%
64%
RaptorsHornets

Matchup at a glance

TORCHA
Record2-02-1
Last 5LWLWWWLWLW
Points per game123.5102
Allowed per game97113.7
Days of rest––
Rating15571556

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