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Chicago Bulls at Los Angeles Lakers: preview and Win Meter

Chicago Bulls → Los Angeles Lakers →

Chicago Bulls at Los Angeles Lakers on Tuesday, February 16 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Lakers about a 85% chance, and the Bulls would need an unusual night to change that.

Why the gap is wide

The Win Meter reads the Lakers 85%, with a projected score of Chicago Bulls 110, Los Angeles Lakers 121. The rating gap is 207 points in favor of the Lakers, and home court and rest add about 101 rating points for the Lakers on top of that.

A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 7 like it goes the other way.

Recent form

The Bulls are 1-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -17. The Lakers are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.2.

The Bulls were beaten 135-92 on the road by TOR not long ago.

The Lakers' best recent win was 127-105 at home against GSW.

The Lakers were beaten 131-108 at home by OKC not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Nicolas Claxton (CHI), expected back Nov 4, 2026, Cameron Carr (LAL), expected back Oct 27, 2026, and Adou Thiero (LAL), expected back Oct 27, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Noa Essengue (CHI), Patrick Williams (CHI), and Walker Kessler (LAL). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the series is even, with the Bulls outscoring the Lakers by an average of 2.5 points per game. The last meeting was CHI 130, LAL 142.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Bulls1-4, -17 avg margin
Lakers2-3, -3.2 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 3 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Lakers.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 12: CHI 130, LAL 142
  • Jan 26: LAL 129, CHI 118
  • Mar 27: LAL 117, CHI 119
  • Mar 22: CHI 146, LAL 115

Injury report

Chicago Bulls
  • Nicolas Claxton Out · back Nov 4
  • Noa Essengue Questionable · back Oct 26
  • Patrick Williams Questionable · back Oct 26
Los Angeles Lakers
  • Cameron Carr Out · back Oct 27
  • Adou Thiero Out · back Oct 27
  • Walker Kessler Available

Win Meter

15%
85%
BullsLakers

Projected score: Bulls 110, Lakers 121

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

15%
85%
BullsLakers

Matchup at a glance

CHILAL
Record1-22-0
Last 5LLLWLLLLWW
Points per game114.7126
Allowed per game128111
Days of rest––
Rating13711578

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