The edge goes to the Hawks at home against the Raptors on Tuesday, February 16, at about 67%. That is a real edge, but the Raptors are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Hawks 67%, with a projected score of Toronto Raptors 113, Atlanta Hawks 117. The rating gap is 23 points in favor of the Hawks, and home court and rest add about 99 rating points for the Hawks on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 33 times in 100 games like this, the Raptors would win.
Recent form
The Raptors are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +7.6. The Hawks are 2-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -6.6.
The Raptors' best recent win was 135-92 at home against CHI.
The Hawks' best recent win was 128-81 on the road against CHA.
The Hawks were beaten 140-89 at home by NYK not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Nate Bittle (TOR), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Malachi Smith (TOR), Kawhi Leonard (TOR), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Henri Veesaar (ATL), expected back Jul 1, 2027, and Mouhamed Gueye (ATL), expected back Nov 20, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: RayJ Dennis (ATL), Keshon Gilbert (ATL), and Jock Landale (ATL). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Raptors lead 6-1, with the Raptors outscoring the Hawks by an average of 9.1 points per game. The last meeting was ATL 100, TOR 118.