Milwaukee Bucks at Cleveland Cavaliers on Tuesday, February 16 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Cavaliers about a 86% chance, and the Bucks would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Cavaliers 86%, with a projected score of Milwaukee Bucks 109, Cleveland Cavaliers 121. The rating gap is 218 points in favor of the Cavaliers, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Cavaliers on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 7 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Bucks are 0-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -6.6. The Cavaliers are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -14.
The Bucks' best recent win was 125-108 at home against BKN.
The Bucks were beaten 126-106 on the road by PHI not long ago.
The Cavaliers were beaten 130-93 at home by NYK not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Khalifa Diop (CLE), Nae'Qwan Tomlin (CLE), and Ernest Udeh, Jr. (CLE).
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Cavaliers lead 7-1, with the Cavaliers outscoring the Bucks by an average of 7.5 points per game. The last meeting was CLE 123, MIL 116.