Detroit Pistons at Utah Jazz on Monday, February 15 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Pistons about a 77% chance, and the Jazz would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Pistons 77%, with a projected score of Detroit Pistons 119, Utah Jazz 111. The rating gap is 311 points in favor of the Pistons, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Jazz on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Pistons are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +2.2. The Jazz are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.2.
The Pistons' best recent win was 115-94 on the road against CLE.
The Pistons were beaten 125-94 at home by CLE not long ago.
The Jazz's best recent win was 147-101 at home against MEM.
The Jazz were beaten 131-107 on the road by LAL not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Ausar Thompson (DET), expected back Oct 27, 2026, Jalen Duren (DET), expected back Nov 9, 2026, Ugonna Onyenso (DET), Jusuf Nurkic (UTA), expected back Nov 4, 2026, and Trey Alexander (UTA), expected back Oct 26, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Elijah Harkless (DET) and Isaac Jones (DET). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the series is even, with the Pistons outscoring the Jazz by an average of 7.5 points per game. The last meeting was DET 129, UTA 131.