New York Knicks at Memphis Grizzlies on Monday, February 15 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Knicks about a 81% chance, and the Grizzlies would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Knicks 81%, with a projected score of New York Knicks 120, Memphis Grizzlies 111. The rating gap is 355 points in favor of the Knicks, and home court and rest add about 99 rating points for the Grizzlies on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 5 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Knicks are 0-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.8. The Grizzlies are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -14.2.
The Grizzlies' best recent win was 123-103 at home against UTA.
The Grizzlies were beaten 147-101 on the road by UTA not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Jose Alvarado (NYK), expected back Oct 27, 2026 and Zach Edey (MEM), expected back Oct 26, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Cedric Coward (MEM) and Karim Lopez (MEM). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Knicks lead 4-0, with the Knicks outscoring the Grizzlies by an average of 15.5 points per game. The last meeting was NYK 130, MEM 119.