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Phoenix Suns at Washington Wizards: preview and Win Meter

Phoenix Suns → Washington Wizards →

Our ratings lean toward the Suns on the road against the Wizards on Monday, February 15, at about 66%. That is a real edge, but the Wizards are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Suns 66%, with a projected score of Phoenix Suns 117, Washington Wizards 113. The rating gap is 215 points in favor of the Suns, and home court and rest add about 99 rating points for the Wizards on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 34 times in 100 games like this, the Wizards would win.

Recent form

The Suns are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -13.2. The Wizards are 2-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -6.

The Suns were beaten 124-83 on the road by POR not long ago.

The Wizards were beaten 140-117 at home by MIA not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Mark Williams (PHX), expected back Feb 3, 2027, Drew Timme (PHX), Tristan Vukcevic (WAS), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Jamir Watkins (WAS), expected back Apr 2, 2027, and AJ Dybantsa (WAS), expected back Oct 28, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Oso Ighodaro (PHX). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Suns lead 4-0, with the Suns outscoring the Wizards by an average of 12.5 points per game. The last meeting was WAS 93, PHX 112.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Suns1-4, -13.2 avg margin
Wizards2-3, -6 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 5 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Wizards.

Recent meetings

  • Jan 11: WAS 93, PHX 112
  • Dec 29: PHX 115, WAS 101
  • Jan 25: WAS 109, PHX 119
  • Jan 16: PHX 130, WAS 123

Injury report

Phoenix Suns
  • Mark Williams Out · back Feb 3
  • Oso Ighodaro Doubtful · back Oct 26
  • Drew Timme Out
Washington Wizards
  • Tristan Vukcevic Out · back Nov 2
  • Jamir Watkins Out · back Apr 2
  • AJ Dybantsa Out · back Oct 28

Win Meter

66%
34%
SunsWizards

Projected score: Suns 117, Wizards 113

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

66%
34%
SunsWizards

Matchup at a glance

PHXWAS
Record1-12-1
Last 5LLLLWLLWLW
Points per game107118
Allowed per game123116
Days of rest––
Rating15101295

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