The edge goes to the Warriors at home against the Pacers on Monday, February 15, at about 72%. That is a real edge, but the Pacers are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Warriors 72%, with a projected score of Indiana Pacers 112, Golden State Warriors 118. The rating gap is 62 points in favor of the Warriors, and home court and rest add about 101 rating points for the Warriors on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Pacers are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.4. The Warriors are 0-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.8.
The Pacers' best recent win was 123-94 on the road against BKN.
The Pacers were beaten 121-105 at home by DAL not long ago.
The Warriors were beaten 127-105 on the road by LAL not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: T.J. McConnell (IND), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Johnny Furphy (IND), expected back Jan 2, 2027, Ben Sheppard (IND), expected back Dec 1, 2026, Kobe Brown (IND), and Kristaps Porzingis (GSW), expected back Dec 1, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Aaron Nesmith (IND), Gui Santos (GSW), and Charles Bassey (GSW). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Pacers lead 3-1, with the Warriors outscoring the Pacers by an average of 2 points per game. The last meeting was IND 83, GSW 114.