Our ratings lean toward the 76ers on the road against the Mavericks on Monday, February 15, at about 59%. That is a real edge, but the Mavericks are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the 76ers 59%, with a projected score of Philadelphia 76ers 116, Dallas Mavericks 114. The rating gap is 164 points in favor of the 76ers, and home court and rest add about 101 rating points for the Mavericks on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 41 times in 100 games like this, the Mavericks would win.
Recent form
The 76ers are 3-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.8. The Mavericks are 1-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.2.
The 76ers were beaten 144-114 at home by NYK not long ago.
The Mavericks' best recent win was 149-128 at home against CHI.
The Mavericks were beaten 139-120 on the road by SAS not long ago.
Offense against defense
The 76ers score 115.7 a game and allow 107.3. The Mavericks score 112.3 and allow 118.3. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 117 for the 76ers and 109.8 for the Mavericks, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Mavericks should find points against the 76ers' defense, which has been giving up 107.3.
Injuries to watch
Out: Dominick Barlow (PHI), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Ariel Hukporti (PHI), expected back Oct 1, 2027, Tacko Fall (PHI), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Jabari Walker (PHI), expected back Oct 28, 2026, and Joel Embiid (PHI), expected back Oct 28, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Caleb Martin (DAL) and Cooper Flagg (DAL). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the 76ers lead 4-0, with the 76ers outscoring the Mavericks by an average of 7.2 points per game. The last meeting was PHI 123, DAL 108.