Game preview · Mon 10:00 AM MT

Minnesota Timberwolves at Charlotte Hornets: preview and Win Meter

Minnesota Timberwolves → Charlotte Hornets →

The edge goes to the Hornets at home against the Timberwolves on Monday, February 15, at about 58%. That is a real edge, but the Timberwolves are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Hornets 58%, with a projected score of Minnesota Timberwolves 114, Charlotte Hornets 116. The rating gap is 44 points in favor of the Timberwolves, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Hornets on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 42 times in 100 games like this, the Timberwolves would win.

Recent form

The Timberwolves are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.4. The Hornets are 2-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -13.

The Timberwolves' best recent win was 131-106 on the road against MIA.

The Timberwolves were beaten 139-109 at home by SAS not long ago.

The Hornets were beaten 128-81 at home by ATL not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Donte DiVincenzo (MIN), expected back Apr 2, 2027, Coby White (CHA), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Kon Knueppel (CHA), expected back Oct 28, 2026, and Grant Williams (CHA), expected back Oct 30, 2026.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Timberwolves lead 3-1, with the Timberwolves outscoring the Hornets by an average of 9.7 points per game. The last meeting was CHA 122, MIN 108.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Timberwolves3-2, -1.4 avg margin
Hornets3-2, -13 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 4 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Hornets.

Recent meetings

  • Apr 5: CHA 122, MIN 108
  • Nov 1: MIN 122, CHA 105
  • Mar 5: MIN 125, CHA 110
  • Nov 4: CHA 93, MIN 114

Injury report

Minnesota Timberwolves
  • Donte DiVincenzo Out · back Apr 2
Charlotte Hornets
  • Coby White Out · back Oct 28
  • Kon Knueppel Out · back Oct 28
  • Grant Williams Out · back Oct 30

Win Meter

42%
58%
TimberwolvesHornets

Projected score: Timberwolves 114, Hornets 116

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

42%
58%
TimberwolvesHornets

Matchup at a glance

MINCHA
Record2-02-1
Last 5WLLWWWLWLW
Points per game123102
Allowed per game99.5113.7
Days of rest––
Rating16001556

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