The edge goes to the Rockets at home against the Nuggets on Sunday, February 14, at about 65%. That is a real edge, but the Nuggets are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Rockets 65%, with a projected score of Denver Nuggets 113, Houston Rockets 117. The rating gap is 6 points in favor of the Rockets, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Rockets on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 35 times in 100 games like this, the Nuggets would win.
Recent form
The Nuggets are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -4.4. The Rockets are 3-0 this season and 4-1 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +3.
The Nuggets were beaten 112-96 on the road by MIN not long ago.
The Rockets' best recent win was 128-110 at home against DAL.
The Rockets were beaten 98-78 at home by LAL not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Julian Strawther (DEN), expected back Nov 29, 2026, Steven Adams (HOU), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Quadir Copeland (HOU), and Julian Phillips (HOU).
Day to day or questionable: Spencer Jones (DEN), Cameron Johnson (DEN), Alpha Diallo (DEN), and Marcus Smart (HOU). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Nuggets lead 5-2, with the Nuggets outscoring the Rockets by an average of 4 points per game. The last meeting was HOU 93, DEN 129.