Game preview · Sun 11:00 AM MT

Phoenix Suns at Cleveland Cavaliers: preview and Win Meter

Phoenix Suns → Cleveland Cavaliers →

The Win Meter favors the Cavaliers at home against the Suns on Sunday, February 14, at about 72%. That is a real edge, but the Suns are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Cavaliers 72%, with a projected score of Phoenix Suns 112, Cleveland Cavaliers 118. The rating gap is 64 points in favor of the Cavaliers, and home court and rest add about 99 rating points for the Cavaliers on top of that.

A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.

Recent form

The Suns are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -13.2. The Cavaliers are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -14.

The Suns were beaten 124-83 on the road by POR not long ago.

The Cavaliers were beaten 130-93 at home by NYK not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Mark Williams (PHX), expected back Feb 3, 2027, Khalifa Diop (CLE), Nae'Qwan Tomlin (CLE), and Ernest Udeh, Jr. (CLE).

Day to day or questionable: Oso Ighodaro (PHX). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the series is even, with the Cavaliers outscoring the Suns by an average of 4.5 points per game. The last meeting was CLE 113, PHX 126.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Suns1-4, -13.2 avg margin
Cavaliers1-4, -14 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 4 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Cavaliers.

Recent meetings

  • Jan 30: CLE 113, PHX 126
  • Dec 31: PHX 113, CLE 129
  • Mar 21: CLE 112, PHX 123
  • Jan 20: PHX 92, CLE 118

Injury report

Phoenix Suns
  • Mark Williams Out · back Feb 3
  • Oso Ighodaro Day to day · back Oct 26
Cleveland Cavaliers
  • Khalifa Diop Out
  • Nae'Qwan Tomlin Out
  • Ernest Udeh, Jr. Out

Win Meter

28%
72%
SunsCavaliers

Projected score: Suns 112, Cavaliers 118

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

28%
72%
SunsCavaliers

Matchup at a glance

PHXCLE
Record1-11-1
Last 5LLLLWLLLLW
Points per game107115.5
Allowed per game123117.5
Days of rest––
Rating15101574

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