Sacramento Kings at Atlanta Hawks on Sunday, February 14 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Hawks about a 87% chance, and the Kings would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Hawks 87%, with a projected score of Sacramento Kings 109, Atlanta Hawks 121. The rating gap is 225 points in favor of the Hawks, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Hawks on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 8 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Kings are 0-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.8. The Hawks are 2-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -6.6.
The Kings were beaten 121-96 on the road by LAC not long ago.
The Hawks' best recent win was 128-81 on the road against CHA.
The Hawks were beaten 140-89 at home by NYK not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Dylan Cardwell (SAC), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Maxime Raynaud (SAC), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Ben Simmons (SAC), expected back Oct 1, 2027, Sean Pedulla (SAC), and Henri Veesaar (ATL), expected back Jul 1, 2027.
Day to day or questionable: Keegan Murray (SAC). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Hawks lead 3-1, with the Hawks outscoring the Kings by an average of 9 points per game. The last meeting was SAC 113, ATL 123.