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Golden State Warriors at New York Knicks: preview and Win Meter

Golden State Warriors → New York Knicks →

Golden State Warriors at New York Knicks on Saturday, February 13 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Knicks about a 90% chance, and the Warriors would need an unusual night to change that.

Why the gap is wide

The Win Meter reads the Knicks 90%, with a projected score of Golden State Warriors 108, New York Knicks 122. The rating gap is 282 points in favor of the Knicks, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Knicks on top of that.

A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 10 like it goes the other way.

Recent form

The Warriors are 0-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.8. The Knicks are 0-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.8.

The Warriors were beaten 127-105 on the road by LAL not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Kristaps Porzingis (GSW), expected back Dec 1, 2026, Jimmy Butler (GSW), expected back Jan 2, 2027, and Moses Moody (GSW), expected back Dec 1, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Brandin Podziemski (GSW), Stephen Curry (GSW), and Jose Alvarado (NYK). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Warriors lead 3-1, with the Warriors outscoring the Knicks by an average of 6.2 points per game. The last meeting was GSW 107, NYK 110.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Warriors1-4, -8.8 avg margin
Knicks2-3, -1.8 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 3 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Knicks.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 15: GSW 107, NYK 110
  • Jan 15: NYK 113, GSW 126
  • Mar 15: NYK 94, GSW 97
  • Mar 4: GSW 114, NYK 102

Injury report

Golden State Warriors
  • Kristaps Porzingis Out · back Dec 1
  • Jimmy Butler Out · back Jan 2
  • Moses Moody Out · back Dec 1
  • Brandin Podziemski Day to day · back Oct 26
  • Stephen Curry Day to day · back Oct 26
New York Knicks
  • Jose Alvarado Questionable · back Oct 25

Win Meter

10%
90%
WarriorsKnicks

Projected score: Warriors 108, Knicks 122

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

10%
90%
WarriorsKnicks

Matchup at a glance

GSWNYK
Record0-30-2
Last 5WLLLLLWWLL
Points per game111.7101.5
Allowed per game123106.5
Days of rest––
Rating14271709

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