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San Antonio Spurs at Orlando Magic: preview and Win Meter

San Antonio Spurs → Orlando Magic →

The edge goes to the Spurs on the road against the Magic on Saturday, February 13, at about 59%. That is a real edge, but the Magic are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Spurs 59%, with a projected score of San Antonio Spurs 116, Orlando Magic 114. The rating gap is 164 points in favor of the Spurs, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Magic on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 41 times in 100 games like this, the Magic would win.

Recent form

The Spurs are 1-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1. The Magic are 0-2 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -14.4.

The Spurs' best recent win was 122-106 on the road against DAL.

The Magic were beaten 115-93 at home by MIN not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Jayden Quaintance (SAS), expected back Dec 3, 2026, Tobias Harris (SAS), expected back Oct 27, 2026, Jonathan Isaac (ORL), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Izaiyah Nelson (ORL), expected back Nov 18, 2026, and Noah Penda (ORL), expected back Nov 18, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Anthony Black (ORL). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the series is even, with the Magic outscoring the Spurs by an average of 0.3 points per game. The last meeting was ORL 103, SAS 112.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Spurs1-4, -1 avg margin
Magic0-5, -14.4 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 6 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Magic.

Recent meetings

  • Feb 1: ORL 103, SAS 112
  • Dec 3: SAS 114, ORL 112
  • Apr 1: ORL 116, SAS 105
  • Feb 8: SAS 111, ORL 112

Injury report

San Antonio Spurs
  • Jayden Quaintance Out · back Dec 3
  • Tobias Harris Out · back Oct 27
Orlando Magic
  • Anthony Black Questionable · back Oct 25
  • Jonathan Isaac Out · back Oct 28
  • Izaiyah Nelson Out · back Nov 18
  • Noah Penda Out · back Nov 18
  • Paolo Banchero Out · back Nov 22

Win Meter

59%
41%
SpursMagic

Projected score: Spurs 116, Magic 114

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

59%
41%
SpursMagic

Matchup at a glance

SASORL
Record1-20-2
Last 5LLLLWLLLLL
Points per game112109
Allowed per game112123.5
Days of rest––
Rating16811517

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