Philadelphia 76ers at Oklahoma City Thunder on Saturday, February 13 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Thunder about a 81% chance, and the 76ers would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Thunder 81%, with a projected score of Philadelphia 76ers 111, Oklahoma City Thunder 120. The rating gap is 150 points in favor of the Thunder, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Thunder on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 5 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The 76ers are 3-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.8. The Thunder are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +0.4.
The 76ers were beaten 144-114 at home by NYK not long ago.
The Thunder were beaten 118-91 on the road by SAS not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Dominick Barlow (PHI), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Ariel Hukporti (PHI), expected back Oct 1, 2027, Tacko Fall (PHI), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Jabari Walker (PHI), expected back Oct 28, 2026, and Joel Embiid (PHI), expected back Oct 28, 2026.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Thunder lead 4-0, with the Thunder outscoring the 76ers by an average of 23.5 points per game. The last meeting was OKC 123, PHI 103.