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Detroit Pistons at Portland Trail Blazers: preview and Win Meter

Detroit Pistons → Portland Trail Blazers →

Detroit Pistons at Portland Trail Blazers on Saturday, February 13 is about as close to a coin flip as the ratings get, with the Trail Blazers at only 51%. Small things like rest, health and shooting variance should decide it.

Why it is so close

The Win Meter reads the Trail Blazers 51%, with a projected score of Detroit Pistons 115, Portland Trail Blazers 115. The rating gap is 92 points in favor of the Pistons, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Trail Blazers on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 49 times in 100 games like this, the Pistons would win.

Recent form

The Pistons are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +2.2. The Trail Blazers are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -0.6.

The Pistons' best recent win was 115-94 on the road against CLE.

The Pistons were beaten 125-94 at home by CLE not long ago.

The Trail Blazers' best recent win was 124-83 at home against PHX.

The Trail Blazers were beaten 114-93 at home by SAS not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Jalen Duren (DET), expected back Nov 9, 2026, Ugonna Onyenso (DET), and Shaedon Sharpe (POR), expected back Mar 2, 2027.

Day to day or questionable: Ausar Thompson (DET), Elijah Harkless (DET), Isaac Jones (DET), and Chris Youngblood (POR). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Pistons lead 4-0, with the Pistons outscoring the Trail Blazers by an average of 6 points per game. The last meeting was DET 110, POR 102.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Pistons3-2, +2.2 avg margin
Trail Blazers2-3, -0.6 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 3 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Trail Blazers.

Recent meetings

  • Dec 22: DET 110, POR 102
  • Dec 5: POR 116, DET 122
  • Mar 9: DET 119, POR 112
  • Jan 6: POR 115, DET 118

Injury report

Detroit Pistons
  • Ausar Thompson Questionable · back Oct 25
  • Jalen Duren Out · back Nov 9
  • Elijah Harkless Questionable
  • Isaac Jones Questionable
  • Ugonna Onyenso Out
Portland Trail Blazers
  • Shaedon Sharpe Out · back Mar 2
  • Chris Youngblood Day to day · back Oct 27
  • Branden Carlson Day to day · back Oct 27

Win Meter

49%
51%
PistonsTrail Blazers

Projected score: Pistons 115, Trail Blazers 115

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

49%
51%
PistonsTrail Blazers

Matchup at a glance

DETPOR
Record2-02-0
Last 5LWLWWLLLWW
Points per game124.5126
Allowed per game112101.5
Days of rest––
Rating16361544

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