The edge goes to the Pacers at home against the Kings on Saturday, February 13, at about 65%. That is a real edge, but the Kings are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Pacers 65%, with a projected score of Sacramento Kings 113, Indiana Pacers 117. The rating gap is 10 points in favor of the Pacers, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Pacers on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 35 times in 100 games like this, the Kings would win.
Recent form
The Kings are 0-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.8. The Pacers are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.4.
The Kings were beaten 121-96 on the road by LAC not long ago.
The Pacers' best recent win was 123-94 on the road against BKN.
The Pacers were beaten 121-105 at home by DAL not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Dylan Cardwell (SAC), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Maxime Raynaud (SAC), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Ben Simmons (SAC), expected back Oct 1, 2027, Sean Pedulla (SAC), and T.J. McConnell (IND), expected back Oct 26, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Keegan Murray (SAC), Kobe Brown (IND), and Aaron Nesmith (IND). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Pacers lead 3-1, with the Pacers outscoring the Kings by an average of 8.8 points per game. The last meeting was IND 109, SAC 114.