Game preview · Fri 6:00 PM MT

Houston Rockets at New Orleans Pelicans: preview and Win Meter

Houston Rockets → New Orleans Pelicans →

Recent form is the story in Houston Rockets at New Orleans Pelicans on Friday, February 12. The Rockets have won 4 of their last 5, while the Pelicans have won 0.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Rockets 62%, with a projected score of Houston Rockets 117, New Orleans Pelicans 114. The rating gap is 188 points in favor of the Rockets, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Pelicans on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 38 times in 100 games like this, the Pelicans would win.

The recent-form gap

The Rockets are 3-0 this season and 4-1 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +3. The Pelicans are 0-3 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4.

The Rockets' best recent win was 128-110 at home against DAL.

The Rockets were beaten 98-78 at home by LAL not long ago.

The Pelicans were beaten 144-118 on the road by BOS not long ago.

Offense against defense

The Rockets score 121 a game and allow 111.3. The Pelicans score 124.7 and allow 128. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 124.5 for the Rockets and 118 for the Pelicans, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.

The Pelicans have been tough to score on, which should slow the Rockets.

The Pelicans should find points against the Rockets' defense, which has been giving up 111.3.

Injuries to watch

Out: Yves Missi (NOP), expected back Nov 2, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Fred VanVleet (HOU), Steven Adams (HOU), and Marcus Smart (HOU). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Rockets lead 7-1, with the Rockets outscoring the Pelicans by an average of 14.5 points per game. The last meeting was HOU 134, NOP 102.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Rockets4-1, +3 avg margin
Pelicans0-5, -8.4 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Offense against defense

Scoring per game. Matchup math pairs each offense with the other team's defense.

Points scored
121
124.7
Points allowed
111.3
128
Matchup math
124.5
118
■ Rockets■ Pelicans

Keys to the game

  • Scoring math favors the Rockets: about 124.5 points expected against 118.
  • The Rockets arrive in better form (W-L-W-W-W against L-L-L-L-L).
  • Health: 1 player is listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Pelicans.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 29: HOU 134, NOP 102
  • Mar 13: NOP 105, HOU 107
  • Jan 18: NOP 110, HOU 119
  • Dec 18: HOU 128, NOP 133
  • Mar 8: NOP 117, HOU 146

Injury report

Houston Rockets
  • Fred VanVleet Day to day · back Oct 26
  • Steven Adams Day to day · back Oct 26
  • Marcus Smart Day to day · back Oct 26
New Orleans Pelicans
  • Yves Missi Out · back Nov 2

Win Meter

62%
38%
RocketsPelicans

Projected score: Rockets 117, Pelicans 114

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

62%
38%
RocketsPelicans

Matchup at a glance

HOUNOP
Record3-00-3
Last 5WLWWWLLLLL
Points per game121124.7
Allowed per game111.3128
Days of rest––
Rating15961408

More