Our ratings lean toward the Celtics at home against the Timberwolves on Friday, February 12, at about 65%. That is a real edge, but the Timberwolves are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Celtics 65%, with a projected score of Minnesota Timberwolves 113, Boston Celtics 117. The rating gap is 9 points in favor of the Celtics, and home court and rest add about 99 rating points for the Celtics on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 35 times in 100 games like this, the Timberwolves would win.
Recent form
The Timberwolves are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.4. The Celtics are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4.
The Timberwolves' best recent win was 131-106 on the road against MIA.
The Timberwolves were beaten 139-109 at home by SAS not long ago.
The Celtics were beaten 113-97 at home by PHI not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Donte DiVincenzo (MIN), expected back Apr 2, 2027 and Devin Carter (BOS), expected back Nov 8, 2026.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the series is even, with the Timberwolves outscoring the Celtics by an average of 2.2 points per game. The last meeting was MIN 102, BOS 92.