The edge goes to the Raptors at home against the Cavaliers on Friday, February 12, at about 62%. That is a real edge, but the Cavaliers are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Raptors 62%, with a projected score of Cleveland Cavaliers 114, Toronto Raptors 117. The rating gap is 17 points in favor of the Cavaliers, and home court and rest add about 101 rating points for the Raptors on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 38 times in 100 games like this, the Cavaliers would win.
Recent form
The Cavaliers are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -14. The Raptors are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +7.6.
The Cavaliers were beaten 130-93 at home by NYK not long ago.
The Raptors' best recent win was 135-92 at home against CHI.
Injuries to watch
Out: Khalifa Diop (CLE), Nae'Qwan Tomlin (CLE), Ernest Udeh, Jr. (CLE), Nate Bittle (TOR), expected back Oct 28, 2026, and Malachi Smith (TOR).
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Cavaliers lead 8-6, with the Cavaliers outscoring the Raptors by an average of 3.6 points per game. The last meeting was TOR 102, CLE 114.