Game preview · Fri 5:00 PM MT

Phoenix Suns at Atlanta Hawks: preview and Win Meter

Phoenix Suns → Atlanta Hawks →

The Win Meter favors the Hawks at home against the Suns on Friday, February 12, at about 73%. That is a real edge, but the Suns are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Hawks 73%, with a projected score of Phoenix Suns 112, Atlanta Hawks 118. The rating gap is 70 points in favor of the Hawks, and home court and rest add about 99 rating points for the Hawks on top of that.

A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.

Recent form

The Suns are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -13.2. The Hawks are 2-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -6.6.

The Suns were beaten 124-83 on the road by POR not long ago.

The Hawks' best recent win was 128-81 on the road against CHA.

The Hawks were beaten 140-89 at home by NYK not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Mark Williams (PHX), expected back Feb 3, 2027, Henri Veesaar (ATL), expected back Jul 1, 2027, and Mouhamed Gueye (ATL), expected back Nov 20, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Oso Ighodaro (PHX). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Hawks lead 3-1, with the Hawks outscoring the Suns by an average of 1.5 points per game. The last meeting was PHX 103, ATL 110.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Suns1-4, -13.2 avg margin
Hawks2-3, -6.6 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 3 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Hawks.

Recent meetings

  • Jan 23: PHX 103, ATL 110
  • Nov 16: ATL 124, PHX 122
  • Jan 14: PHX 117, ATL 122
  • Jan 9: ATL 115, PHX 123

Injury report

Phoenix Suns
  • Mark Williams Out · back Feb 3
  • Oso Ighodaro Day to day · back Oct 26
Atlanta Hawks
  • Henri Veesaar Out · back Jul 1
  • Mouhamed Gueye Out · back Nov 20

Win Meter

27%
73%
SunsHawks

Projected score: Suns 112, Hawks 118

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

27%
73%
SunsHawks

Matchup at a glance

PHXATL
Record1-12-1
Last 5LLLLWLLWWL
Points per game107124.7
Allowed per game123109
Days of rest––
Rating15101580

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