Our ratings lean toward the Thunder at home against the Spurs on Thursday, February 11, at about 68%. That is a real edge, but the Spurs are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Thunder 68%, with a projected score of San Antonio Spurs 113, Oklahoma City Thunder 117. The rating gap is 29 points in favor of the Thunder, and home court and rest add about 99 rating points for the Thunder on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 32 times in 100 games like this, the Spurs would win.
Recent form
The Spurs are 1-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1. The Thunder are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +0.4.
The Spurs' best recent win was 122-106 on the road against DAL.
The Thunder were beaten 118-91 on the road by SAS not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Jayden Quaintance (SAS), expected back Dec 3, 2026, Tobias Harris (SAS), expected back Oct 27, 2026, Thomas Sorber (OKC), expected back Oct 26, 2026, and Nikola Topic (OKC), expected back Oct 26, 2026.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Spurs lead 9-7, with the Spurs outscoring the Thunder by an average of 1.2 points per game. The last meeting was OKC 116, SAS 104.