Chicago Bulls at Denver Nuggets on Thursday, February 11 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Nuggets about a 86% chance, and the Bulls would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Nuggets 86%, with a projected score of Chicago Bulls 109, Denver Nuggets 121. The rating gap is 219 points in favor of the Nuggets, and home court and rest add about 101 rating points for the Nuggets on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 7 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Bulls are 1-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -17. The Nuggets are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -4.4.
The Bulls were beaten 135-92 on the road by TOR not long ago.
The Nuggets were beaten 112-96 on the road by MIN not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Nicolas Claxton (CHI), expected back Nov 4, 2026 and Julian Strawther (DEN), expected back Nov 29, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Noa Essengue (CHI), Patrick Williams (CHI), Spencer Jones (DEN), and Cameron Johnson (DEN). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Bulls lead 3-1, with the Bulls outscoring the Nuggets by an average of 1.2 points per game. The last meeting was DEN 136, CHI 120.