Our ratings lean toward the Pacers at home against the Jazz on Thursday, February 11, at about 69%. That is a real edge, but the Jazz are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Pacers 69%, with a projected score of Utah Jazz 113, Indiana Pacers 118. The rating gap is 40 points in favor of the Pacers, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Pacers on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 31 times in 100 games like this, the Jazz would win.
Recent form
The Jazz are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.2. The Pacers are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.4.
The Jazz's best recent win was 147-101 at home against MEM.
The Jazz were beaten 131-107 on the road by LAL not long ago.
The Pacers' best recent win was 123-94 on the road against BKN.
The Pacers were beaten 121-105 at home by DAL not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Jusuf Nurkic (UTA), expected back Nov 4, 2026, Trey Alexander (UTA), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Harrison Ingram (UTA), Kobe Bufkin (UTA), and T.J. McConnell (IND), expected back Oct 26, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Kobe Brown (IND) and Aaron Nesmith (IND). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the series is even, with the Jazz outscoring the Pacers by an average of 1 points per game. The last meeting was UTA 131, IND 122.