Detroit Pistons at Phoenix Suns on Wednesday, February 10 is about as close to a coin flip as the ratings get, with the Pistons at only 54%. Small things like rest, health and shooting variance should decide it.
Why it is so close
The Win Meter reads the Pistons 54%, with a projected score of Detroit Pistons 116, Phoenix Suns 115. The rating gap is 126 points in favor of the Pistons, and home court and rest add about 101 rating points for the Suns on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 46 times in 100 games like this, the Suns would win.
Recent form
The Pistons are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +2.2. The Suns are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -13.2.
The Pistons' best recent win was 115-94 on the road against CLE.
The Pistons were beaten 125-94 at home by CLE not long ago.
The Suns were beaten 124-83 on the road by POR not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Jalen Duren (DET), expected back Nov 9, 2026, Ugonna Onyenso (DET), and Mark Williams (PHX), expected back Feb 3, 2027.
Day to day or questionable: Ausar Thompson (DET), Elijah Harkless (DET), Isaac Jones (DET), and Oso Ighodaro (PHX). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the series is even, with the Suns outscoring the Pistons by an average of 2.8 points per game. The last meeting was DET 96, PHX 114.