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Orlando Magic at Memphis Grizzlies: preview and Win Meter

Orlando Magic → Memphis Grizzlies →

The Win Meter favors the Magic on the road against the Grizzlies on Wednesday, February 10, at about 59%. That is a real edge, but the Grizzlies are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Magic 59%, with a projected score of Orlando Magic 116, Memphis Grizzlies 114. The rating gap is 163 points in favor of the Magic, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Grizzlies on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 41 times in 100 games like this, the Grizzlies would win.

Recent form

The Magic are 0-2 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -14.4. The Grizzlies are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -14.2.

The Magic were beaten 115-93 at home by MIN not long ago.

The Grizzlies' best recent win was 123-103 at home against UTA.

The Grizzlies were beaten 147-101 on the road by UTA not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Jonathan Isaac (ORL), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Izaiyah Nelson (ORL), expected back Nov 18, 2026, Noah Penda (ORL), expected back Nov 18, 2026, Paolo Banchero (ORL), expected back Nov 22, 2026, and Zach Edey (MEM), expected back Oct 26, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Anthony Black (ORL) and Cedric Coward (MEM). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Grizzlies lead 3-1, with the Grizzlies outscoring the Magic by an average of 6 points per game. The last meeting was ORL 109, MEM 126.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Magic0-5, -14.4 avg margin
Grizzlies2-3, -14.2 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • The Grizzlies arrive in better form (L-L-L-W-W against L-L-L-L-L).
  • Health: 5 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Grizzlies.

Recent meetings

  • Jan 18: ORL 109, MEM 126
  • Jan 15: MEM 111, ORL 118
  • Feb 21: MEM 105, ORL 104
  • Oct 26: ORL 111, MEM 124

Injury report

Orlando Magic
  • Anthony Black Questionable · back Oct 25
  • Jonathan Isaac Out · back Oct 28
  • Izaiyah Nelson Out · back Nov 18
  • Noah Penda Out · back Nov 18
  • Paolo Banchero Out · back Nov 22
Memphis Grizzlies
  • Cedric Coward Questionable · back Oct 25
  • Zach Edey Out · back Oct 26

Win Meter

59%
41%
MagicGrizzlies

Projected score: Magic 116, Grizzlies 114

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

59%
41%
MagicGrizzlies

Matchup at a glance

ORLMEM
Record0-22-0
Last 5LLLLLLLLWW
Points per game109117
Allowed per game123.5105.5
Days of rest––
Rating15171354

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