Golden State Warriors at Boston Celtics on Wednesday, February 10 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Celtics about a 83% chance, and the Warriors would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Celtics 83%, with a projected score of Golden State Warriors 110, Boston Celtics 120. The rating gap is 182 points in favor of the Celtics, and home court and rest add about 99 rating points for the Celtics on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 6 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Warriors are 0-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.8. The Celtics are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4.
The Warriors were beaten 127-105 on the road by LAL not long ago.
The Celtics were beaten 113-97 at home by PHI not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Kristaps Porzingis (GSW), expected back Dec 1, 2026, Jimmy Butler (GSW), expected back Jan 2, 2027, Moses Moody (GSW), expected back Dec 1, 2026, and Devin Carter (BOS), expected back Nov 8, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Brandin Podziemski (GSW) and Stephen Curry (GSW). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Celtics lead 3-1, with the Celtics outscoring the Warriors by an average of 16.5 points per game. The last meeting was GSW 99, BOS 120.