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Cleveland Cavaliers at Indiana Pacers: preview and Win Meter

Cleveland Cavaliers → Indiana Pacers →

The Win Meter favors the Cavaliers on the road against the Pacers on Wednesday, February 10, at about 65%. That is a real edge, but the Pacers are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Cavaliers 65%, with a projected score of Cleveland Cavaliers 117, Indiana Pacers 113. The rating gap is 209 points in favor of the Cavaliers, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Pacers on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 35 times in 100 games like this, the Pacers would win.

Recent form

The Cavaliers are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -14. The Pacers are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.4.

The Cavaliers were beaten 130-93 at home by NYK not long ago.

The Pacers' best recent win was 123-94 on the road against BKN.

The Pacers were beaten 121-105 at home by DAL not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Khalifa Diop (CLE), Nae'Qwan Tomlin (CLE), Ernest Udeh, Jr. (CLE), T.J. McConnell (IND), expected back Oct 26, 2026, and Johnny Furphy (IND), expected back Jan 2, 2027.

Day to day or questionable: Kobe Brown (IND) and Aaron Nesmith (IND). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Pacers lead 7-6, with the Cavaliers outscoring the Pacers by an average of 0.6 points per game. The last meeting was IND 108, CLE 117.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Cavaliers1-4, -14 avg margin
Pacers2-3, -1.4 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 6 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Pacers.

Recent meetings

  • Apr 5: IND 108, CLE 117
  • Jan 6: CLE 120, IND 116
  • Dec 1: CLE 135, IND 119
  • Nov 21: IND 109, CLE 120
  • May 13: IND 114, CLE 105 (playoffs)

Injury report

Cleveland Cavaliers
  • Khalifa Diop Out
  • Nae'Qwan Tomlin Out
  • Ernest Udeh, Jr. Out
Indiana Pacers
  • T.J. McConnell Out · back Oct 26
  • Johnny Furphy Out · back Jan 2
  • Ben Sheppard Out · back Dec 1
  • Kobe Brown Probable
  • Aaron Nesmith Probable · back Oct 25

Win Meter

65%
35%
CavaliersPacers

Projected score: Cavaliers 117, Pacers 113

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

65%
35%
CavaliersPacers

Matchup at a glance

CLEIND
Record1-11-1
Last 5LLLLWWLLWL
Points per game115.5114
Allowed per game117.5120.5
Days of rest––
Rating15741365

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