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Houston Rockets at Utah Jazz: preview and Win Meter

Houston Rockets → Utah Jazz →

The Win Meter favors the Rockets on the road against the Jazz on Tuesday, February 9, at about 73%. That is a real edge, but the Jazz are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Rockets 73%, with a projected score of Houston Rockets 118, Utah Jazz 112. The rating gap is 271 points in favor of the Rockets, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Jazz on top of that.

A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.

Recent form

The Rockets are 3-0 this season and 4-1 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +3. The Jazz are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.2.

The Rockets' best recent win was 128-110 at home against DAL.

The Rockets were beaten 98-78 at home by LAL not long ago.

The Jazz's best recent win was 147-101 at home against MEM.

The Jazz were beaten 131-107 on the road by LAL not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Jusuf Nurkic (UTA), expected back Nov 4, 2026, Trey Alexander (UTA), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Harrison Ingram (UTA), and Kobe Bufkin (UTA).

Day to day or questionable: Fred VanVleet (HOU), Steven Adams (HOU), and Marcus Smart (HOU). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Rockets lead 5-2, with the Rockets outscoring the Jazz by an average of 16.3 points per game. The last meeting was UTA 106, HOU 140.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Rockets4-1, +3 avg margin
Jazz2-3, -3.2 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • The Rockets arrive in better form (W-L-W-W-W against L-W-L-L-W).
  • Health: 4 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Jazz.

Recent meetings

  • Apr 3: UTA 106, HOU 140
  • Feb 23: UTA 105, HOU 125
  • Dec 1: HOU 125, UTA 133
  • Nov 30: HOU 129, UTA 101
  • Apr 2: UTA 105, HOU 143

Injury report

Houston Rockets
  • Fred VanVleet Day to day · back Oct 26
  • Steven Adams Day to day · back Oct 26
  • Marcus Smart Day to day · back Oct 26
Utah Jazz
  • Jusuf Nurkic Out · back Nov 4
  • Trey Alexander Out · back Oct 26
  • Harrison Ingram Out
  • Kobe Bufkin Out

Win Meter

73%
27%
RocketsJazz

Projected score: Rockets 118, Jazz 112

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

73%
27%
RocketsJazz

Matchup at a glance

HOUUTA
Record3-01-1
Last 5WLWWWLWLLW
Points per game121111.5
Allowed per game111.3121
Days of rest––
Rating15961325

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