Game preview · Tue 6:00 PM MT

Sacramento Kings at Milwaukee Bucks: preview and Win Meter

Sacramento Kings → Milwaukee Bucks →

Our ratings lean toward the Bucks at home against the Kings on Tuesday, February 9, at about 64%. That is a real edge, but the Kings are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Bucks 64%, with a projected score of Sacramento Kings 113, Milwaukee Bucks 117. The two teams are rated almost level, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Bucks on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 36 times in 100 games like this, the Kings would win.

Recent form

The Kings are 0-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.8. The Bucks are 0-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -6.6.

The Kings were beaten 121-96 on the road by LAC not long ago.

The Bucks' best recent win was 125-108 at home against BKN.

The Bucks were beaten 126-106 on the road by PHI not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Dylan Cardwell (SAC), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Maxime Raynaud (SAC), expected back Nov 2, 2026, and Ben Simmons (SAC), expected back Oct 1, 2027.

Day to day or questionable: Keegan Murray (SAC). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Bucks lead 3-1, with the Bucks outscoring the Kings by an average of 9 points per game. The last meeting was MIL 115, SAC 98.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Kings1-4, -8.8 avg margin
Bucks1-4, -6.6 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 3 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Bucks.

Recent meetings

  • Jan 4: MIL 115, SAC 98
  • Nov 1: SAC 135, MIL 133
  • Mar 22: MIL 114, SAC 108
  • Jan 14: SAC 115, MIL 130

Injury report

Sacramento Kings
  • Dylan Cardwell Out · back Nov 2
  • Maxime Raynaud Out · back Nov 2
  • Ben Simmons Out · back Oct 1
  • Keegan Murray Questionable · back Oct 25
Milwaukee Bucks

No reported injuries.

Win Meter

36%
64%
KingsBucks

Projected score: Kings 113, Bucks 117

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

36%
64%
KingsBucks

Matchup at a glance

SACMIL
Record0-20-3
Last 5LWLLLWLLLL
Points per game108119
Allowed per game124.5129
Days of rest––
Rating13551356

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