Golden State Warriors at Chicago Bulls on Tuesday, February 9 is about as close to a coin flip as the ratings get, with the Bulls at only 56%. Small things like rest, health and shooting variance should decide it.
Why it is so close
The Win Meter reads the Bulls 56%, with a projected score of Golden State Warriors 114, Chicago Bulls 116. The rating gap is 56 points in favor of the Warriors, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Bulls on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 44 times in 100 games like this, the Warriors would win.
Recent form
The Warriors are 0-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.8. The Bulls are 1-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -17.
The Warriors were beaten 127-105 on the road by LAL not long ago.
The Bulls were beaten 135-92 on the road by TOR not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Warriors score 111.7 a game and allow 123. The Bulls score 114.7 and allow 128. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 119.9 for the Warriors and 118.9 for the Bulls, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Bulls have been tough to score on, which should slow the Warriors.
The Warriors have defended better than the Bulls have scored, so the Bulls may need to find offense elsewhere.
Injuries to watch
Out: Kristaps Porzingis (GSW), expected back Dec 1, 2026, Jimmy Butler (GSW), expected back Jan 2, 2027, Moses Moody (GSW), expected back Dec 1, 2026, and Nicolas Claxton (CHI), expected back Nov 4, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Brandin Podziemski (GSW), Stephen Curry (GSW), Noa Essengue (CHI), and Patrick Williams (CHI). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Warriors lead 3-1, with the Warriors outscoring the Bulls by an average of 18 points per game. The last meeting was CHI 130, GSW 124.